Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 58.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 87.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 83.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Schenn
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Schenn
Schmaltz
Last 7: Schenn 5-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
2
Schenn
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
45.9% (697)
+5.6%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
47.9% (117)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
48.0% (25)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Schenn is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Schenn shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Schenn
Schmaltz
Home
53.9% (412)
44.9% (434)
Away
53.3% (375)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Schenn
Schmaltz
P1
49.6%
41.5%
P2
52.0%
46.7%
P3
58.1%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |