Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.4%). Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Philp 48.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 68.1%
Defensive zone
Philp 59.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 54.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Schenn
Philp
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Schenn
Philp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Philp
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Philp
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Philp
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Philp
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,842)
50.0% (204)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (398)
33.3% (21)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Philp shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,570).
Schenn shoots left. Philp is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Schenn
Philp
Home
49.7% (5,075)
52.6% (97)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
45.3% (128)
By Period
Schenn
Philp
P1
48.8%
50.8%
P2
48.6%
48.9%
P3
48.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.6%
Philp
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Noah Philp |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |