Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Zacha 51.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 58.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 62.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 50.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Schenn
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Schenn
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Schenn
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
53.0% (700)
-1.5%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
54.1% (109)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
39.2% (74)
+27.5%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Schenn is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Schenn shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Schenn
Zacha
Home
53.9% (412)
51.6% (438)
Away
53.3% (375)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Schenn
Zacha
P1
49.6%
57.0%
P2
52.0%
48.9%
P3
58.1%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |