Brayden Schenn vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 64.9%
Defensive zone
Schenn 67.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 70.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
46.0% (250)
+5.5%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
70.6% (17)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
31.8% (22)
+34.9%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Schenn is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Schenn shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.9% (412)
50.3% (175)
Away
53.3% (375)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Schenn
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.6%
48.5%
P2
52.0%
45.9%
P3
58.1%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |