Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Steel 50.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 54.3%
Defensive zone
Steel 63.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Schenn
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schenn
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Schenn
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
52.5% (200)
-1.0%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
71.4% (7)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
40.0% (45)
+26.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Schenn is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Schenn shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Schenn
Steel
Home
53.9% (412)
49.5% (109)
Away
53.3% (375)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Schenn
Steel
P1
49.6%
49.5%
P2
52.0%
47.5%
P3
58.1%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Sam Steel |