Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 85.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 80.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 51.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Schenn
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Schenn
Kuraly
Last 10: Schenn 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
5
1
Schenn
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
7
Schenn
Kuraly
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
2
Schenn
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,842)
51.6% (5,161)
-3.6%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
56.4% (101)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (398)
44.4% (1,091)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,707).
Schenn shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Schenn
Kuraly
Home
49.7% (5,075)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Schenn
Kuraly
P1
48.8%
51.2%
P2
48.6%
50.0%
P3
48.3%
50.2%
OT
50.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.6%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |