Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Thompson 45.2% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 82.2%
Defensive zone
Schenn 79.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 82.3%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Schenn
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Schenn
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
44.6% (661)
+6.9%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
48.4% (95)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
33.3% (33)
+33.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Schenn is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Schenn shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Schenn
Thompson
Home
53.9% (412)
45.7% (411)
Away
53.3% (375)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Schenn
Thompson
P1
49.6%
47.7%
P2
52.0%
45.7%
P3
58.1%
40.5%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |