Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.1% vs Hertl 57.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 93.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 75.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 81.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 86.8%
13.2%
86.8%
Schenn
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Schenn
Hertl
Last 10: Schenn 8-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
5
1
Schenn
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (643)
58.5% (845)
-7.2%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
56.2% (281)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
62.9% (35)
+3.8%
On power play, Schenn has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Schenn is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Schenn shoots left. Hertl is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Home / Away
Schenn
Hertl
Home
53.6% (399)
60.0% (582)
Away
53.3% (375)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Schenn
Hertl
P1
48.9%
52.1%
P2
52.1%
63.6%
P3
58.2%
58.8%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.0%
53.5%
Hertl
64.0%▲
60.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |