Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Gourde 46.0% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 70.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 83.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 72.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Schenn
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Schenn
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Schenn
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Schenn
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Schenn
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
47.2% (687)
+4.3%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
45.0% (20)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
33.0% (88)
+33.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Schenn is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Schenn shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Schenn
Gourde
Home
53.9% (412)
44.4% (356)
Away
53.3% (375)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Schenn
Gourde
P1
49.6%
42.2%
P2
52.0%
50.0%
P3
58.1%
44.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:37 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |