Brendan Gaunce vs Casey Mittelstadt

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Brendan Gaunce holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Gaunce 51.9% vs Mittelstadt 45.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Gaunce 62.3%
Defensive zone Gaunce 94.1%
Neutral zone Gaunce 85.4%
Result Brendan Gaunce favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Gaunce Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 2 (9 meetings)
7
2
Gaunce Mittelstadt
Last 9: Gaunce 7-2 Mittelstadt

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
1
Gaunce Mittelstadt
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
0
Gaunce Mittelstadt
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
1
Gaunce Mittelstadt
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Gaunce
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
45.0% (3,911)
+6.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
49.8% (660)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
37.5% (96)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +17.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gaunce is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Gaunce shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,769).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Mittelstadt
Home
49.9% (525)
46.8% (2,314)
Away
54.5% (470)
44.4% (2,353)
By Period
Gaunce
Mittelstadt
P1
53.6%
46.7%
P2
47.4%
46.2%
P3
55.0%
44.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
43.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%
56.5%
52.1%
Mittelstadt
48.0%
53.0%
45.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 28, 2025 1 17:42 Neutral Casey Mittelstadt
Apr 1, 2024 3 12:10 Offensive Casey Mittelstadt
Apr 1, 2024 3 04:44 Defensive Brendan Gaunce
Apr 1, 2024 3 04:39 Neutral Brendan Gaunce
Apr 1, 2024 2 18:03 Neutral Brendan Gaunce
Apr 1, 2024 1 15:23 Offensive Brendan Gaunce
Mar 22, 2024 2 07:07 Neutral Brendan Gaunce
Dec 30, 2023 3 11:14 Defensive Brendan Gaunce
Dec 30, 2023 1 17:15 Offensive Brendan Gaunce