Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Gaunce wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 54.4% vs Giroux 61.3% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 89.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 68.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 68.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Gaunce
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Gaunce
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
0
Gaunce
Giroux
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (155)
61.0% (420)
-2.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
66.4% (113)
-66.4%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (25)
65.6% (163)
-13.6%
On power play, Giroux has a +66.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Gaunce is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Gaunce shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Giroux
Home
54.8% (93)
66.6% (350)
Away
59.1% (88)
59.2% (346)
By Period
Gaunce
Giroux
P1
62.3%
62.1%
P2
48.1%
64.7%
P3
59.5%
61.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |