Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.8%). Look for Gaunce on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaunce wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sissons shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 54.4% vs Sissons 55.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 54.9%
Defensive zone
Sissons 68.3%
Neutral zone
Sissons 63.9%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Gaunce
Sissons
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gaunce
Sissons
Last 5: Gaunce 4-1 Sissons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaunce
Sissons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
0
Gaunce
Sissons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Sissons
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (155)
57.6% (436)
+0.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
65.0% (20)
-65.0%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (25)
52.8% (123)
-0.8%
On power play, Sissons has a +65.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sissons shoots right. Gaunce is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Gaunce shoots left. Sissons is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Sissons
Home
54.8% (93)
53.3% (274)
Away
59.1% (88)
60.0% (305)
By Period
Gaunce
Sissons
P1
62.3%
55.7%
P2
48.1%
58.3%
P3
59.5%
56.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Sissons
64.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |