Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.3% vs Barzal 46.9% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 52.6%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 59.9%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 63.3%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Gaunce
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Gaunce
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
1
Gaunce
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (126)
46.6% (483)
+5.8%
On even strength, Gaunce has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Gaunce is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Gaunce shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Barzal
Home
46.9% (49)
49.6% (242)
Away
55.8% (77)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Gaunce
Barzal
P1
54.5%
42.4%
P2
46.2%
49.5%
P3
55.8%
47.7%
Final 5 min
62.9%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |