Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 52.5% vs Colton 51.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 58.5%
Defensive zone
Colton 55.4%
Neutral zone
Colton 53.5%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Gaunce
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Gaunce
Colton
Last 7: Gaunce 3-4 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
2
Gaunce
Colton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
1
Gaunce
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaunce
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (170)
52.1% (741)
+2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
48.3% (60)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
42.1% (19)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Gaunce is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Gaunce shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Colton
Home
51.4% (107)
54.0% (411)
Away
57.3% (75)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Gaunce
Colton
P1
63.4%
56.7%
P2
46.3%
53.1%
P3
55.4%
46.3%
Final 5 min
58.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
53.8%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |