Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs McLeod 49.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 60.4%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 74.3%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 69.9%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Gaunce
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Gaunce
McLeod
Last 7: Gaunce 6-1 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
0
Gaunce
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
1
Gaunce
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
50.4% (3,376)
+1.3%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
50.7% (296)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
44.1% (644)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Gaunce is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Gaunce shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Gaunce
McLeod
Home
49.9% (525)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
54.5% (470)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Gaunce
McLeod
P1
53.6%
50.8%
P2
47.4%
48.0%
P3
55.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:26 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |