Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Gaunce wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 54.4% vs Carrick 54.2% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 56.3%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 50.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.3%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Gaunce
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (155)
55.5% (470)
+2.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
66.7% (3)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (25)
50.0% (58)
+2.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Gaunce is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Gaunce shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Carrick
Home
54.8% (93)
58.6% (261)
Away
59.1% (88)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Gaunce
Carrick
P1
62.3%
55.9%
P2
48.1%
53.5%
P3
59.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%