Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Jarnkrok 50.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 72.7%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 53.3%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 69.7%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Howden
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Howden
Jarnkrok
Last 6: Howden 4-2 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
0
1
Howden
Jarnkrok
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Jarnkrok
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Jarnkrok
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (631)
50.5% (301)
-2.2%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
50.0% (14)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
43.8% (16)
-2.4%
On power play, Howden has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Howden is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Howden shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Howden
Jarnkrok
Home
52.0% (304)
53.8% (210)
Away
45.9% (425)
43.8% (121)
By Period
Howden
Jarnkrok
P1
48.7%
48.7%
P2
48.1%
54.0%
P3
49.0%
47.6%
Final 5 min
45.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
48.4%
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 10:35 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Brett Howden |