Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.1%). Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Jarnkrok 48.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 50.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 58.7%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.9%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Howden
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Howden
Jarnkrok
Last 8: Howden 5-3 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Jarnkrok
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Jarnkrok
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Jarnkrok
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
49.2% (3,357)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
51.9% (258)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
40.4% (643)
+2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,987).
Home / Away
Howden
Jarnkrok
Home
48.2% (1,630)
50.5% (2,262)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
45.3% (1,996)
By Period
Howden
Jarnkrok
P1
49.5%
47.7%
P2
47.9%
48.0%
P3
49.8%
48.8%
OT
35.5%
40.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 10:35 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Brett Howden |