Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Soderberg 47.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 54.3%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 52.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 53.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Howden
Soderberg
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Howden
Soderberg
Last 5: Howden 4-1 Soderberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Soderberg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Soderberg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Soderberg
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
48.3% (4,444)
+1.2%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
53.1% (424)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
40.8% (601)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Soderberg shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. Soderberg is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,391).
Home / Away
Howden
Soderberg
Home
48.2% (1,630)
50.2% (2,703)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
45.6% (2,766)
By Period
Howden
Soderberg
P1
49.5%
47.4%
P2
47.9%
48.2%
P3
49.8%
48.1%
OT
35.5%
46.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 16, 2018 | OT | 01:36 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Brett Howden |