Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Cizikas 54.1% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 59.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 68.7%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 64.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Howden
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Howden
Cizikas
Last 7: Howden 4-3 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Cizikas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Cizikas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
2
Howden
Cizikas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
55.2% (554)
-5.4%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
100.0% (3)
-44.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
46.5% (43)
+0.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Howden is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Howden shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Howden
Cizikas
Home
46.5% (217)
54.8% (301)
Away
52.7% (237)
54.8% (299)
By Period
Howden
Cizikas
P1
51.4%
58.7%
P2
51.6%
56.1%
P3
48.5%
50.5%
OT
26.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Cizikas
70.0%▲
60.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |