Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Giroux 61.3% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 87.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 90.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 86.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Howden
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Howden
Giroux
Last 5: Howden 0-5 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Howden
Giroux
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Howden
Giroux
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
3
Howden
Giroux
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
61.0% (420)
-11.2%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
66.4% (113)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
65.6% (163)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Howden
Giroux
Home
46.5% (217)
66.6% (350)
Away
52.7% (237)
59.2% (346)
By Period
Howden
Giroux
P1
51.4%
62.1%
P2
51.6%
64.7%
P3
48.5%
61.6%
OT
26.7%
69.2%
Final 5 min
50.5%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | OT | 03:44 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 26, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |