Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Hughes 36.5% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 53.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 92.7%
Neutral zone
Howden 85.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Howden
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Howden
Hughes
Last 10: Howden 6-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
3
Howden
Hughes
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
0
Howden
Hughes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
5
4
Howden
Hughes
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
36.0% (2,926)
+13.5%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
38.8% (224)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
31.0% (42)
+12.1%
On even strength, Howden has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Home / Away
Howden
Hughes
Home
48.2% (1,630)
36.8% (1,681)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
35.3% (1,511)
By Period
Howden
Hughes
P1
49.5%
36.9%
P2
47.9%
33.4%
P3
49.8%
38.2%
OT
35.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:31 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |