Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Spezza 54.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 53.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 73.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 60.1%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Howden
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Howden
Spezza
Last 10: Howden 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
4
Howden
Spezza
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
0
Howden
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Howden
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
54.4% (7,990)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
56.8% (1,726)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
52.7% (643)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Howden
Spezza
Home
48.2% (1,630)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Howden
Spezza
P1
49.5%
55.7%
P2
47.9%
54.4%
P3
49.8%
54.1%
OT
35.5%
51.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Brett Howden |