Brett Howden vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.7% vs Pageau 58.9% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 88.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 89.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 87.5%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 88.7%
88.7%
11.3%
Howden
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
12
(14 meetings)
2
12
Howden
Pageau
Last 10: Howden 2-8 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Howden
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
7
Howden
Pageau
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
Howden
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (397)
59.3% (715)
-9.7%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
68.3% (41)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
59.7% (221)
-12.6%
On power play, Pageau has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Pageau is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Home / Away
Howden
Pageau
Home
46.2% (212)
58.1% (418)
Away
52.7% (237)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Howden
Pageau
P1
50.7%
55.3%
P2
51.9%
61.5%
P3
48.5%
61.6%
OT
26.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
42.0%▼
45.0%
49.7%
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | OT | 02:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |