Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Veleno 50.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 52.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 63.8%
Neutral zone
Veleno 53.7%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Howden
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Howden
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Veleno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
52.5% (278)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
37.9% (29)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Howden is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Howden shoots left. Veleno is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Howden
Veleno
Home
46.5% (217)
49.6% (123)
Away
52.7% (237)
52.2% (184)
By Period
Howden
Veleno
P1
51.4%
54.1%
P2
51.6%
48.8%
P3
48.5%
52.6%
OT
26.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Brett Howden |