Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Veleno 47.4% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 52.5%
Defensive zone
Veleno 57.2%
Neutral zone
Veleno 50.5%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Howden
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Howden
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Howden
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Veleno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
47.1% (420)
+6.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
25.0% (8)
+23.1%
On power play, Veleno has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Howden
Veleno
Home
48.8% (258)
47.8% (201)
Away
56.6% (258)
46.1% (228)
By Period
Howden
Veleno
P1
54.0%
48.8%
P2
53.2%
47.9%
P3
50.9%
44.2%
Final 5 min
56.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
52.7%
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:41 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |