Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Bailey 44.3% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 72.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 60.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 52.6%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Howden
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
39.8% (83)
+8.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
27.3% (22)
-27.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
80.0% (5)
-42.5%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Howden is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Howden shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Howden
Bailey
Home
52.6% (173)
33.3% (48)
Away
41.5% (118)
43.5% (62)
By Period
Howden
Bailey
P1
51.6%
33.3%
P2
37.1%
47.2%
P3
55.3%
39.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
48.1%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%