Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.7% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 89.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 60.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 76.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Howden
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Howden
Stenlund
Last 10: Howden 3-7 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
2
Howden
Stenlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
4
Howden
Stenlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Howden
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (397)
56.2% (650)
-6.6%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
53.2% (47)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
51.6% (312)
-4.5%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Howden
Stenlund
Home
46.2% (212)
56.9% (483)
Away
52.7% (237)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Howden
Stenlund
P1
50.7%
54.2%
P2
51.9%
53.2%
P3
48.5%
56.9%
OT
26.7%
42.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
42.0%▼
45.0%
49.7%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |