Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Stenlund 53.9% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 91.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 73.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 77.5%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Howden
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Howden
Stenlund
Last 10: Howden 3-7 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Howden
Stenlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
5
Howden
Stenlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Howden
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
55.3% (2,738)
-5.8%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
52.6% (116)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
50.4% (924)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Howden
Stenlund
Home
48.2% (1,630)
54.3% (1,873)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
53.8% (1,905)
By Period
Howden
Stenlund
P1
49.5%
56.2%
P2
47.9%
53.3%
P3
49.8%
53.0%
OT
35.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |