Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Reichel on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Reichel 41.6% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 64.1%
Defensive zone
Reichel 65.6%
Neutral zone
Reichel 67.1%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Howden
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Howden
Reichel
Last 9: Howden 3-6 Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Reichel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reichel
1
4
Howden
Reichel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
40.1% (668)
+9.4%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
48.2% (56)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
0.0% (6)
+43.1%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. Reichel is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Home / Away
Howden
Reichel
Home
48.2% (1,630)
41.2% (410)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
39.4% (320)
By Period
Howden
Reichel
P1
49.5%
41.9%
P2
47.9%
36.3%
P3
49.8%
42.8%
OT
35.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |