Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Jankowski 53.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 52.8%
Defensive zone
Howden 59.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 57.1%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Howden
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Howden
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Howden
Jankowski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
53.7% (555)
-3.9%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
50.0% (14)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
54.3% (46)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Howden is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Howden shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Howden
Jankowski
Home
46.5% (217)
53.2% (331)
Away
52.7% (237)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Howden
Jankowski
P1
51.4%
52.7%
P2
51.6%
55.8%
P3
48.5%
52.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |