Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.0%). Howden wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs McTavish 49.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 63.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 63.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Howden
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Howden
McTavish
Last 8: Howden 6-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
McTavish
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
47.6% (618)
+2.2%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
58.3% (103)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
33.3% (6)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Howden is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Howden shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Howden
McTavish
Home
46.5% (217)
52.2% (391)
Away
52.7% (237)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Howden
McTavish
P1
51.4%
50.2%
P2
51.6%
47.7%
P3
48.5%
49.2%
OT
26.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Brett Howden |