Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs McCarron 52.1% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 82.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 66.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 60.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Howden
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Howden
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Howden
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Howden
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
52.8% (697)
-3.0%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
18.2% (11)
+37.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
52.6% (211)
-5.5%
On power play, Howden has a +37.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Howden
McCarron
Home
46.5% (217)
52.8% (477)
Away
52.7% (237)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Howden
McCarron
P1
51.4%
56.2%
P2
51.6%
52.4%
P3
48.5%
48.7%
OT
26.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |