Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs McLeod 58.0% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 59.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 84.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 64.1%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Howden
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Howden
McLeod
Last 9: Howden 5-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
2
Howden
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
59.2% (2,894)
-9.7%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
57.4% (101)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
53.5% (525)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
Home / Away
Howden
McLeod
Home
48.2% (1,630)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Howden
McLeod
P1
49.5%
58.7%
P2
47.9%
59.9%
P3
49.8%
56.3%
OT
35.5%
63.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:29 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |