Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.6%). Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Suzuki 50.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 57.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 72.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 55.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Howden
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Howden
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Howden
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Howden
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
51.3% (945)
-1.5%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
50.7% (282)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
40.3% (67)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Howden
Suzuki
Home
46.5% (217)
51.0% (637)
Away
52.7% (237)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Howden
Suzuki
P1
51.4%
53.1%
P2
51.6%
47.4%
P3
48.5%
51.3%
OT
26.7%
48.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |