Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Hischier 52.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 20-19 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 61.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 61.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 58.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Howden
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
20
(39 meetings)
19
20
Howden
Hischier
Last 10: Howden 7-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
6
Howden
Hischier
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
11
4
Howden
Hischier
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
10
Howden
Hischier
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
51.6% (8,444)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
59.9% (1,749)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
49.3% (918)
-6.2%
On power play, Hischier has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Home / Away
Howden
Hischier
Home
48.2% (1,630)
53.0% (5,477)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
52.4% (5,634)
By Period
Howden
Hischier
P1
49.5%
52.9%
P2
47.9%
52.6%
P3
49.8%
52.7%
OT
35.5%
50.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |