Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Acciari 50.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 78.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 86.4%
Neutral zone
Acciari 51.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 86.4%
13.6%
86.4%
Howden
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Howden
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
52.7% (313)
-2.9%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
33.3% (18)
+22.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
49.7% (195)
-2.6%
On power play, Howden has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Howden
Acciari
Home
46.5% (217)
52.6% (291)
Away
52.7% (237)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Howden
Acciari
P1
51.4%
53.7%
P2
51.6%
51.1%
P3
48.5%
48.5%
OT
26.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Brett Howden |