Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 79.4%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 55.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 64.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Howden
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Howden
Sundqvist
Last 6: Howden 4-2 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
2
Howden
Sundqvist
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
46.8% (301)
+3.0%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
80.0% (10)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
43.5% (85)
+3.6%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Howden
Sundqvist
Home
46.5% (217)
46.0% (189)
Away
52.7% (237)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Howden
Sundqvist
P1
51.4%
44.7%
P2
51.6%
47.6%
P3
48.5%
48.6%
OT
26.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |