Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 63.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 61.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 51.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Howden
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Howden
Stastny
Last 10: Howden 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
5
Howden
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
6
2
Howden
Stastny
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
3
2
Howden
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
54.6% (10,616)
-5.1%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
59.1% (1,994)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
52.9% (1,119)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Howden
Stastny
Home
48.2% (1,630)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Howden
Stastny
P1
49.5%
56.3%
P2
47.9%
55.4%
P3
49.8%
53.5%
OT
35.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2019 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |