Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Thomas 51.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 62.8%
Defensive zone
Howden 72.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 67.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Howden
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Howden
Thomas
Last 10: Howden 1-9 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
6
Howden
Thomas
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Howden
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Howden
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
51.1% (5,387)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
55.8% (927)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
50.2% (697)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Howden
Thomas
Home
48.2% (1,630)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Howden
Thomas
P1
49.5%
50.7%
P2
47.9%
53.0%
P3
49.8%
50.8%
OT
35.5%
59.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:59 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Brett Howden |