Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Colton 51.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 50.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 53.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 52.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Howden
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Howden
Colton
Last 9: Howden 4-5 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Colton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Howden
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
51.6% (1,803)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
48.8% (162)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
34.5% (29)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. Colton is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,297).
Home / Away
Howden
Colton
Home
48.2% (1,630)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Howden
Colton
P1
49.5%
53.7%
P2
47.9%
52.6%
P3
49.8%
47.9%
OT
35.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Ross Colton |