Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 85.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 55.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 67.8%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Howden
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Howden
Kuraly
Last 10: Howden 1-9 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
6
Howden
Kuraly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
5
Howden
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
51.6% (5,161)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
56.4% (101)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
44.4% (1,091)
-1.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Howden
Kuraly
Home
48.2% (1,630)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Howden
Kuraly
P1
49.5%
51.2%
P2
47.9%
50.0%
P3
49.8%
50.2%
OT
35.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 19:18 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Brett Howden |