Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Wright 43.3% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 67.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 88.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 85.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Howden
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Howden
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
0
Howden
Wright
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Wright
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
42.7% (1,326)
+6.8%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
45.1% (133)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
33.3% (6)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Howden
Wright
Home
48.2% (1,630)
44.2% (746)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Howden
Wright
P1
49.5%
44.5%
P2
47.9%
40.5%
P3
49.8%
44.0%
OT
35.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Shane Wright |