Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Rask 50.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 67.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 67.0%
Neutral zone
Rask 50.3%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Howden
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Howden
Rask
Last 8: Howden 4-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
3
Howden
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
50.0% (4,428)
-0.5%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
54.3% (363)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
35.2% (54)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Howden
Rask
Home
48.2% (1,630)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Howden
Rask
P1
49.5%
50.7%
P2
47.9%
48.9%
P3
49.8%
50.7%
OT
35.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 06:48 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Victor Rask |