Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Leason wins 32.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Leason 40.2% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leason 92.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 54.0%
Neutral zone
Leason 68.9%
Result
Brett Leason favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Leason
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Leason
Kuraly
Last 9: Leason 3-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Leason
2
0
Leason
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Leason
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Leason
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Leason
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
35.5% (121)
51.6% (5,161)
-16.1%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
56.4% (101)
-43.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
44.4% (1,091)
-19.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Leason is 32.7% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Leason shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Leason
Kuraly
Home
33.3% (72)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
33.3% (69)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Leason
Kuraly
P1
34.6%
51.2%
P2
28.9%
50.0%
P3
36.4%
50.2%
Final 5 min
43.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Leason
32.0%▬
33.3%
33.3%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Brett Leason |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Brett Leason |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Brett Leason |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |