Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Leason on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Leason wins 32.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Leason 40.2% vs Monahan 51.2% (-17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leason 57.9%
Defensive zone
Leason 63.3%
Neutral zone
Leason 64.3%
Result
Brett Leason favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Leason
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Leason
Monahan
Last 6: Leason 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Leason
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Leason
2
1
Leason
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Leason
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Leason
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
35.5% (121)
51.1% (11,407)
-15.6%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
53.6% (2,582)
-41.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
45.9% (772)
-20.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Leason is 32.7% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Leason shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Leason
Monahan
Home
33.3% (72)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
33.3% (69)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Leason
Monahan
P1
34.6%
51.0%
P2
28.9%
51.7%
P3
36.4%
51.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Leason
32.0%▬
33.3%
33.3%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:25 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Brett Leason |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Brett Leason |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |