Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 51.3%). Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Aho 51.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Boyle leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 86.4%
Defensive zone
Boyle 63.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 62.5%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Boyle
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Boyle
Aho
Last 10: Boyle 7-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
6
1
Boyle
Aho
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Boyle
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
50.2% (6,646)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
58.9% (1,310)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
46.5% (465)
-0.3%
On power play, Aho has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Boyle
Aho
Home
52.2% (3,521)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Boyle
Aho
P1
51.3%
51.1%
P2
51.1%
52.1%
P3
50.4%
50.8%
OT
55.3%
48.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 19:11 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |