Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 86.7%
Defensive zone
Flynn 55.8%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 65.0%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Flynn
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Flynn
Jokinen
Last 6: Flynn 1-5 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
3
Flynn
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Flynn
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
45.8% (3,924)
+4.4%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
50.8% (585)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
42.9% (247)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Flynn has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Flynn is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Flynn shoots right. Jokinen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,548).
Home / Away
Flynn
Jokinen
Home
50.8% (661)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
48.8% (642)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Flynn
Jokinen
P1
47.3%
45.6%
P2
51.8%
47.5%
P3
50.0%
45.4%
OT
58.3%
56.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |