Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gionta wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 42.0% vs Monahan 51.2% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 68.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 61.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 70.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Gionta
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Gionta
Monahan
Last 9: Gionta 5-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Gionta
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
5
1
Gionta
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Gionta
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
51.1% (11,407)
-14.4%
Power Play
53.7% (162)
53.6% (2,582)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (135)
45.9% (772)
-11.8%
On even strength, Monahan has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Gionta is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (380).
Gionta shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Gionta
Monahan
Home
40.4% (307)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
41.0% (295)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Gionta
Monahan
P1
37.7%
51.0%
P2
42.9%
51.7%
P3
40.7%
51.0%
OT
42.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
35.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.7%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |