Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Boeser wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 47.2% vs Dickinson 49.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boeser 84.6%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 63.3%
Neutral zone
Boeser 63.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Boeser
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Boeser
Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
1
Boeser
Dickinson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
1
Boeser
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (99)
51.9% (503)
-9.5%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
50.0% (4)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
40.5% (111)
+59.5%
On penalty kill, Boeser has a +59.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Boeser is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Boeser shoots right. Dickinson is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Boeser
Dickinson
Home
42.9% (56)
49.0% (345)
Away
46.4% (56)
50.9% (273)
By Period
Boeser
Dickinson
P1
42.5%
43.9%
P2
52.4%
57.3%
P3
34.5%
47.2%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
48.0%▲
40.0%
44.6%
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |