Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Boeser wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 46.2% vs Dickinson 49.7% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boeser 88.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 69.7%
Neutral zone
Boeser 67.1%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Boeser
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Boeser
Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
1
Boeser
Dickinson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
1
Boeser
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (111)
51.9% (670)
-11.4%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
66.7% (9)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
39.1% (156)
+60.9%
On penalty kill, Boeser has a +60.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Boeser is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Boeser shoots right. Dickinson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Boeser
Dickinson
Home
41.3% (63)
48.7% (431)
Away
45.2% (62)
50.7% (404)
By Period
Boeser
Dickinson
P1
40.0%
43.4%
P2
51.1%
54.9%
P3
34.4%
49.6%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
40.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
40.5%
43.2%
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |